Análisis de las variables que inciden en los precios del camarón ecuatoriano en el mercado internacional del periodo 2019 al 2023.

Abstract

The research focused on analyzing the variables affecting Ecuadorian shrimp prices in the international market from 2019 to 2023. The primary objective was to identify how internal factors, such as production costs and applied technologies, and external factors, like global competition and international events, influence these prices. A mixed methodology was used, combining qualitative and quantitative approaches, highlighting data collection through interviews with producers and experts, and the analysis of econometric models such as ARMA and VAR. Key findings revealed that the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine war caused significant price volatility, while internally, feed costs and security issues increased operational expenses. Efficient and sustainable production emerged as a cornerstone for maintaining the sector’s competitiveness. In conclusion, it was determined that both internal and external factors significantly impact price formation, underscoring the need for strategies like market diversification and policies promoting sustainability and technological innovation.