Los predictores de la violencia en Ecuador: una visión integrada sobre sus factores criminógenos entre 2011 y 2022.

Abstract

To systematize an integrated vision from local criminology on the criminogenic factors explaining the phenomenon of violence since 2011, and the extraordinary rebound that began in 2019. Method: Documentary exegesis, based on empirically based criminological analyzes in Ecuador and countries with similar economic and criminological variables. Result: We perceived four criminogenic predictor analyzes is perceived, from the structural analysis to the ethnographic and situational analysis. These are: The breakdown of positive vertical social mobility, the illusion of wealth, the absence of the father figure (problems with the image of provider masculinity) and, finally, the relationship between the microtrafficking adolescent and the impact of the promulgation of the table of consumption thresholds. The new theoretical body explains that violence based on the effects of the cessation of sudden wealth in the kinship system and the interpretation in it of criminal opportunities from micro-trafficking to drug trafficking.